Don’t forget to change your blinker fluid shirt

Bauer has a ton of potential, but he really hasn’t got a lot in terms of Don’t forget to change your blinker fluid shirt. He’s had one exceptional season (2018) and an elite stretch in 2020. Beyond that, he’s been hovering around league average performance. However, some of the things I said about Maeda apply to Bauer as well. His spin rate is much higher now than it has been in the past, and you can see the effect that has on his results. I don’t know if he’s using sticky stuff or if he and Boddy have figured out a way to naturally train/increase spin but if he can keep that up I’d expect him to remain well above average going forward.

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When the Twins signed him to that extremely reasonable deal, they were basically only competing with the Rays for Don’t forget to change your blinker fluid shirt. If, as everyone seems to assume, the change bringing the DH to the NL continues beyond the pandemic, then you’ve now got 15 more teams where he could potentially sign. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if that drives his price up back into the $18-20M range. The only counterbalancing factor is that I don’t think anyone really has any idea how much the pandemic will impact payrolls moving forward, especially next year, when (sadly) the odds of returning to full stadiums still seems quite slim.