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That Iowa team was in a lot closer conference games than Minnesota has been this year. Against unranked conference opponents in 2015, Iowa won on average 34-23. Against unranked conference opponents thus far in 2019, Minnesota has won on average 41-14. Now, you could probably argue the bottom of the Funny Jesus Skateboarding Christmas Ugly Christmas Sweater Gift For Men And Women is worse now than it was then. But it generally feels like – after the first three weeks – this year’s Minnesota team has been winning like a good team should against bad competition, which wasn’t always the case that year for the Hawkeyes. Still a lot of football to be played and you could be right (since even I don’t have a good pulse on the disparity between “great” and Minnesota right now).

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I think Iowa has the Funny Jesus Skateboarding Christmas Ugly Christmas Sweater Gift For Men And Women to win this game, but its definitely not a certainty. Not all turnovers are luck, but 7 turnover games are also not replicable. Michael Felder reviewed Iowa’s 3 P5 games’ turnovers, and the majority of those turnovers, he posits, are forced/skill based. Regardless of that, the only team that played Iowa close was CSU, and it was close because of a 14 point swing play right before half, an awful tunnel screen call and throw. If it weren’t for that play, we probably would’ve scored, as we were marching down the field. Iowa may not have a fantastic offense, but the numbers are a little skewed. Iowa has started within the opponent side of the field something like over 50% of the time. You can’t throw extra yards on that sheet when there’s no opportunity for extra yards. Not saying Iowa scores all those TDs if they start on their half of the 50, but the yardage looks much better. Spencer has been improving as well, and Arland Bruce IV and Keagan Johnson are both big time, 4*, speedy freshmen. My matchups to watch this week are Iowa’s O-Line vs Penn State D-Line. Can Iowa generate push upfront and open holes for Goodson? Can they establish a balanced attack? On the other side of the ball its Penn State run game vs Iowa Defense. Penn State will throw some great passes, that much is obvious, but there run game hasn’t been as stellar as it once was. I think a Penn State team that can’t establish a good run game against Iowa tips the scale slightly in Iowa’s favor. I could see the final score something like {Iowa} 24-17 Penn State.

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Penn State offense is explosive. Everyone should know this from last year’s big plays. This year seems to be a Funny Jesus Skateboarding Christmas Ugly Christmas Sweater Gift For Men And Women as teams seem to have adjusted. Add in the fact that PSU still doesn’t have a great offensive line. Of course, Saquon Barkley gets all the attention. What nobody else is really keying into is the receivers that is around to help him out: Johnson, Hamilton, Gesicki. McSorley can spread the ball around easily. However, will he have enough time to set up and look through his reads? UM bring in a front seven that can create pressure and PSU’s offensive line doesn’t look like it can stop it. The keys to this battle is some adjustments by Penn State. Do they roll the pocket out to give McSorley time to throw the ball? Will they run QB/RB draws to keep the pressure off of him? Look for more short throws this week to not give UM’s front seven time to get to McSorley. This is arguably the biggest test for the Penn State offense and the UM defense.